A prognosis on the Russo-Ukrainian conflict with a time frame of a few months. With three points:
1. Ukraine either cannot or will not fight Russia without continuous and sizable US support.
2. Funding would be more difficult with Republicans more powerful because
a) they want to investigate Biden and his as well as his son's
dealing with Ukraine. For example, they would like to know "how Biden facilitated the trade in American weapons in "black markets" of Eastern Europe and the Middle East."
b) US support so far does not have grass root support.
Only "one percent of Americans consider assistance to Ukraine to be relevant."
3. US political system falling apart
"It is no coincidence that Biden has called the Republicans semi-fascists recently. He is looking for an internal enemy in the face of the Trumpists in order to rally his supporters on this ground.
In his speech on September 2, Joe Biden de facto declared war on the Trumpists and their supporters under the slogans of the need to defend democracy. By doing this, Biden accelerated the decline of the US political system."
See more at https://english.pravda.ru/world/153979-usa_ukraine_war/
[…]
2. Funding would be more difficult with Republicans more powerful because
a) they want to investigate Biden and his as well as his son's
dealing with Ukraine. For example, they would like to know "how Biden facilitated the trade in American weapons in "black markets" of
Eastern Europe and the Middle East."
b) US support so far does not have grass root support.
Only "one percent of Americans consider assistance to Ukraine to be relevant."
[…]
See more at https://english.pravda.ru/world/153979-usa_ukraine_war/
ltlee1 wrote:
[…]IMHO it is possible but unlikely+ *soon*.
2. Funding would be more difficult with Republicans more powerful because a) they want to investigate Biden and his as well as his son's
dealing with Ukraine. For example, they would like to know "how Biden facilitated the trade in American weapons in "black markets" of
Eastern Europe and the Middle East."
b) US support so far does not have grass root support.
Only "one percent of Americans consider assistance to Ukraine to be relevant."
[…]
See more at https://english.pravda.ru/world/153979-usa_ukraine_war/
I looks like in big part wishful thinking by pravda.RU.
Sacrificing Ukraine at Russian altar *without profit* can make the issue important for US voters. So *fast* changes are unlikely IMHO.
I expect US support for Ukraine to be stable at least up to summer
2023. but it may turn out to be "insufficient" anyway,
--
A. Filip : Big (Tech) Brother is watching you.
| An expert is a person who avoids the small errors as he sweeps on
| to the grand fallacy. (Benjamin Stolberg)
On Saturday, September 17, 2022 at 10:16:54 AM UTC, A. Filip wrote:
ltlee1 wrote:Au Contrarie. I will give the *soon* a pass. It depends on how successful is Zelenskyy's near term offensive and whether it can be sustained.
[…]IMHO it is possible but unlikely+ *soon*.
2. Funding would be more difficult with Republicans more powerful because
a) they want to investigate Biden and his as well as his son's
dealing with Ukraine. For example, they would like to know "how Biden facilitated the trade in American weapons in "black markets" of
Eastern Europe and the Middle East."
b) US support so far does not have grass root support.
Only "one percent of Americans consider assistance to Ukraine to be relevant."
[…]
See more at https://english.pravda.ru/world/153979-usa_ukraine_war/
But long term is a different story. Geopolitics is then likely to take priority over
shorter term domestic partisan politics. As reported previously, the US does not
mind a badly damaged Russia. But low level instability between Russia and other
European nations is not necessarily a bad thing from the US point of view. It
certainly would make the NATO continue to be relevant.
I looks like in big part wishful thinking by pravda.RU.
Sacrificing Ukraine at Russian altar *without profit* can make the issue important for US voters. So *fast* changes are unlikely IMHO.Sacrificing Ukraine, not just at Russian altar, but also for some EU member nations' sake. Concerning US voters, it should be first and foremost a European concern. US voters have many urgent needs themselves.
I expect US support for Ukraine to be stable at least up to summer
2023. but it may turn out to be "insufficient" anyway,
--
A. Filip : Big (Tech) Brother is watching you.
| An expert is a person who avoids the small errors as he sweeps on
| to the grand fallacy. (Benjamin Stolberg)
On Saturday, September 17, 2022 at 2:33:50 PM UTC, ltlee1 wrote:
On Saturday, September 17, 2022 at 10:16:54 AM UTC, A. Filip wrote:
ltlee1 wrote:Au Contrarie. I will give the *soon* a pass. It depends on how successful is
[…]IMHO it is possible but unlikely+ *soon*.
2. Funding would be more difficult with Republicans more powerful because
a) they want to investigate Biden and his as well as his son's
dealing with Ukraine. For example, they would like to know "how Biden facilitated the trade in American weapons in "black markets" of Eastern Europe and the Middle East."
b) US support so far does not have grass root support.
Only "one percent of Americans consider assistance to Ukraine to be relevant."
[…]
See more at https://english.pravda.ru/world/153979-usa_ukraine_war/
Zelenskyy's near term offensive and whether it can be sustained.
But long term is a different story. Geopolitics is then likely to take priority over
shorter term domestic partisan politics. As reported previously, the US does not
mind a badly damaged Russia. But low level instability between Russia and other
European nations is not necessarily a bad thing from the US point of view. It
certainly would make the NATO continue to be relevant.
I looks like in big part wishful thinking by pravda.RU.
"Recent surveys conducted by YouGov in connection with Concerned Veterans for America (CVA)Sacrificing Ukraine at Russian altar *without profit* can make the issue important for US voters. So *fast* changes are unlikely IMHO.Sacrificing Ukraine, not just at Russian altar, but also for some EU member
I expect US support for Ukraine to be stable at least up to summer
2023. but it may turn out to be "insufficient" anyway,
nations' sake. Concerning US voters, it should be first and foremost a European concern. US voters have many urgent needs themselves.
asked 1000 American adults a series of questions on America’s current policy vis-à-vis Ukraine
and the Russian invasion. While Americans remain supportive of efforts to economically and
financially punish Russia for the invasion of its western neighbor, a plurality of respondents said
the United States should not put boots on the ground to assist the Ukrainians. The survey also
shows the American people, when given information about America’s pre-existing commitments
to Ukraine, believe the U.S. should rein in its military assistance for the Ukrainians to be in line
with wealthy European nations.
Of those surveyed from Sept. 9 through Sept. 12, 48 percent opposed “sending US troops to Ukraine
to help the Ukrainian government defend itself against Russia,” while only 20 percent were in favor.
Another 31 percent neither supported nor opposed such a move. A survey conducted from Sept. 1
through Sept. 6 by YouGov and CVA also found broad opposition to “direct combat for US troops in
the Russia-Ukraine War.” Forty percent of respondents were strongly opposed and another 17 percent
were somewhat opposed. More respondents were "somewhat opposed" to direct combat involvement
by U.S. troops than "somewhat supported" (10 percent) or "strongly supported" (4 percent) U.S. troops’
involvement. Just under a fifth of respondents (18 percent) were neutral on the question."
https://www.theamericanconservative.com/new-americans-opposed-to-boots-on-the-ground-in-ukraine-new-poll-finds/
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